Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a strong upward trend, and many experts believe it will reach its peak around October 2025, as the bull market is about halfway through.
This bull market is different from previous ones because, for the first time, Bitcoin hit its all-time high before the halving event, which is a significant moment in Bitcoin’s price history. As a result, some traders think Bitcoin might finish its bull run earlier than expected, possibly by the end of 2024 or in January 2025.
However, other analysts believe that Bitcoin will follow a pattern similar to past bull runs, such as those in 2016 and 2020. These analysts continue to stick to their prediction that Bitcoin’s price movement this time will be similar to those earlier cycles.
BTC Top in October 2025
A well-known analyst named Rekt Capital has predicted that the best part of Bitcoin’s current bull run will happen in October 2025. He made this prediction by looking at past Bitcoin cycles. According to his analysis, Bitcoin has historically reached its highest price more than 500 days after each halving event.
In 2016, Bitcoin hit its bottom 547 days before the halving and its peak 518 days after the halving. Similarly, in the 2020/2021 cycle, Bitcoin bottomed 517 days before the halving and reached its top 549 days after the halving.
The most recent Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, and Bitcoin bottomed 517 days before it. By looking at past trends, Rekt Capital believes that Bitcoin will likely reach its highest point about 549 days after the April 2024 halving, which would be around October 2025.
Bull Market Progress at Roughly 50%
Some people believe that selling Bitcoin (BTC) at $90,000 is a good idea, but analyst Rekt Capital disagrees. He thinks the market still has a long way to go because Bitcoin is in a “parabolic phase,” meaning its price is rising quickly. Although Bitcoin has faced some resistance around $90,000, Rekt Capital’s analysis suggests that the current bull market is only halfway through. Just a few days ago, when Bitcoin was priced around $84,000, he said the market progress was at 47.8%.
Rekt Capital believes that Bitcoin might continue to increase in price for a few more days before a larger correction happens. He points out that in previous years, Bitcoin followed a similar pattern. In 2017, Bitcoin saw eight weeks of rising prices before a major correction, and in 2021, it rallied for four weeks before a big pullback. In this cycle, however, Bitcoin has only been in a price discovery phase for one week. Based on these past patterns, Rekt Capital expects that Bitcoin could experience more price increases before facing a significant drop.